Detecting failure of climate predictions
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
On the credibility of climate predictions
Geographically distributed predictions of future climate, obtained through climate models, are widely used in hydrology and many other disciplines, typically without assessing their reliability. Here we compare the output of various models to temperature and precipitation observations from eight stations with long (over 100 years) records from around the globe. The results show that models perf...
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Uncertainties in projections of future climate change caused by an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations have been a subject of intensive study in recent years. However, in most cases, uncertainties in parameters and characteristics of models used to obtain those projections, such as climate sensitivity or radiative forcing, are described only by ranges of possible values. The resulting unc...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature Climate Change
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1758-678X,1758-6798
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3041